NHL Picks; November 29th, 2018

New York Islanders vs Boston Bruins

Tonight as a whole consists of a lot of tough games and it starts with this one here. The Bruins are coming off a loss vs Toronto as the Islanders are also coming off a loss. Both teams are not playing all that well, the Bruins are banged up bad, the Islanders are slowing down too soon and both teams need wins bad. The Bruins are 5-3-2 in their last ten and 8-2-0 at home, as the Islanders are 6-6-0 on the road and 4-5-1 in their last ten. It seems Robin Lehner is getting the start for the Islanders, Lehner is 4-5-1, 3.00 GAA and .906 save percentage on the year vs Tuukka Rask who is 5-4-2 with a 2.72 GAA and .913 save percentage. The Islanders out perform the Bruins in the goals department and the offensive side as the Bruins allow one of the league’s best 2.46 goals against compared to the Islanders 2.91. The Islanders power play is struggling as the Bruins have a top-5 power play, key for the Islanders is to play smart and stay out of the box (both teams rank 28, 29 in penalty minutes per game..). I see this game being a relatively lower scoring game, going with a Bruins win. 

Minnesota Wild vs Columbus Blue Jackets

The Wild are underdogs here, small under dogs per money line at +105 but that is a solid drawing point here. The Blue Jackets are 7-2-1 in their last ten and 6-4-1 at home as the Wild are 6-4-0 in their last ten and 6-5-0 on the road. Both starters draw in net tonight, both goalies are nearly neck and neck right now. Devan Dubynk is 9-6-2 with a 2.57 GAA, .916 save percentage vs Sergei Bobrovsky 9-7-0 record with a 2.74 GAA, .912 save percentage. Both goalies playing pretty well this season, Bob more so better in the recent weeks, Dubnyk has slowed down a little but this is seeming to be a 3-2 game. The Wild average 3.25 goals per game as Columbus (top-5) 3.5 goals for. Blue Jackets allow 3.21 vs the Wild’s (top-10) 2.61 goals against average. The Wild have a power play running at 22 percent as Blue Jackets power play is clicking at 16 percent. Wild have a much better penalty kill as Blue Jackets penalty kill is in the basement of the league. If both teams stay out of the box and this stays to 5 on 5, Blue Jackets at home should win. I like the Wild at +1.5 to start the game, but going Blue Jackets for the win tonight, money line. 

Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers

For some reason I feel a good game out of L.A. a big win vs Vancouver the other night, Jonathan Quick is back tonight and the Kings as bad as their record looks still have some time to pick it up. I think the Kings come out strong tonight and play well in front of Quick. If Quick is 100% healthy he will make the saves to help the Kings win this game. The Oilers coming off a big overtime win over Dallas are now .500, 3-6-1 in their last ten and 5-4-1 at home. The Kings are 4-6-0 in their last ten and 4-6-0 on the road. The Kings average 2.17 goals for (a league worst) as the Oilers average 2.71 goals for (27th) compared to the Kings 3.13 goals against (19th) vs the Oilers 3.17 goals against (20th). Two very similar teams, very sub par offenses, rely a lot on goaltending and when they want both can actually score 4 plus goals a game. With the Kings +130 and +1.5 to start, I don’t mind this line. I see the Kings winning this game in regulation and Quick playing well in his first game back. 

Chicago Blackhawks vs Winnipeg Jets

Has to be a sure fire pick here tonight. The JEts are coming off a bad loss to Pittsburgh on home ice Tuesday night as the Blackhawks got shackled 8-3 vs Vegas Tuesday. Either way the Blackhawks are done, the Jets are not going to drop two at home, you’d be crazy to think they do. The Jets are 5-4-1 in their last ten and 8-3-2 on home ice as the Blackhawks are 3-5-2 in their last ten and 4-7-2 on the road. The Blackhawks average 2.72 vs the Jets 3.35 goals for, Blackhawks allow 3.56 goals against compared to the Jets 2.83 goals against. Clearly the Jets are favorited heavily here, but either way going Jets tonight. 

Vegas Golden Knights vs Vancouver Canucks

Vegas is rolling now, four straight, things are starting to click a little and if they lose this game it could set them back a little. The Canucks are coming off a loss to the Kings Tuesday night. The Golden Knights are 6-4-0 in their last ten and 6-9-0 on the road vs the Canucks 1-7-2 in their last ten and 5-4-1 on home ice. The Golden Knights allow the least shots on net in the NHL as the Canucks only score 2.85 goals for a game. The Golden Knights average 2.92 goals for but also allow 2.77 goals against as the Canucks allow 3.48 (27th). The Golden Knights are coming in hot to this game as the Canucks can’t seem to do anything to get back in the win column and be consistent, a struggling team vs a confident team. Plus the Canucks won the last time these two met in October, so definitely going Golden Knights here. Golden Knights are -160 and -1.5 to start, either way with the Canucks under dogs at home going Knights. 

Other games on tonight: 

Rangers vs Senators: Not worth it. 

Sabres vs Lightning: Definitely stay away. 

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