NHL Picks: December 9th 2018

Philadelphia Flyers vs Winnipeg Jets

The Flyers are coming into todays game off an overtime loss to Columbus and a win vs Buffalo. Now they get another big test vs Winnipeg on the road. The Flyers are 3-5-2 in their last ten and 7-5-1 on the road as the Jets are 6-4-0 in their last ten and 9-4-2 at home. The Jets are clearly the better team, they have an all around sound team when Connor Hellebuyck wants to show up and even with Hellebuyck playing mediocre the Jets still have 17 wins on the year. The Jets score 3.32 goals per game vs a Flyers 3.11 goals per game but the Flyers allow 3.48 goals per game as the Jets allow 2.78 goals against. The Jets power play is 4th in the league as the Flyers is 30th, on top of that the Flyers have the 29th ranked penalty kill in the league so if the Jets find themselves up a man at all this game could be over before we know it. The Jets are clear favorites coming into today, they are -230 as the Flyers are +180, the Jets are -1.5 as the Flyers are +1.5 and the over/under is 6.5 so basically 7 which is possible but tough. I see this game going to the Jets but there is not much draw in anything for this game.

Vancouver Canucks vs St. Louis Blues 

These two teams have been struggling over the last month or so, the Blues come into todays game off a win but still 3-6-1 in their last ten as the Canucks are 2-7-1 in their last ten. The Blues post a 6-7-2 home record vs the Canucks 6-9-2 road record. Really a tough game to go after both teams are unpredictable, they can show up or not on any given day they are never consistent which worries me. The Blues score 2.85 goals for and allow 3.22 goals against as the Canucks score 2.84 and allow 3.42 goals against. I could see this game being a shootout. Both offense can score and both defenses are not great this year, this could easily be a 5-4 game in my opinion as both goalies have above a 3.00 goals against and .904 save percentage or lower. The Blues are -150 and Canucks are +130, Canucks are favored 1.5 and Blues need to cover 1.5, not going to happen. I’d go Canucks puck spread or just Canucks straight up.

Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators

The Bruins are going from Boston to Ottawa in a days span this is a tough travel schedule and it will not be beneficial for the already banged up Bruins roster. The Bruins are coming off a big win vs Toronto but that may not mean much as this game will be a totally different style of play. The Senators are banged up, up front as well, they play a pretty quick, open the ice style of game. The Bruins are coming into todays game 5-4-1 in their last ten, 5-7-4 on the road as the Senators are 4-6-0 in their last ten and 10-5-2 at home. The Bruins go from a 7:00 PM puck drop Friday to a 5:00 PM puck drop today the turn around is less than 24 hours and the Senators are solid at home. I think you get what I am saying here. The Senators are +150 and +1.5 puck spread, I’d honestly go Senators straight up.

New Jersey Devils vs Anaheim Ducks

The Devils have major issues with closing games out in regulation and beyond. They have four overtime loses in their last ten games and just two wins. They are 2-4-4 coming into tonight and 3-10-1 on the road as the Ducks are 7-2-1 in their last ten and 8-4-5 at home. I could see this game going into overtime to be honest. The only reason this game is a little enticing is because Adam Henrique vs the Devils and Sami Vatanen vs the Ducks. The offense in today’s game may be slim, the Ducks score just 2.35 goals per game as the Devils score 3 goals per game but while the Ducks don’t score a lot they also allow just 2.81 goals against vs the Devils 3.48 goals against (28th). These two teams have similar special teams, both have a strong penalty kill and decent power play. At the moment the Devils are +105 and +1.5 puck spread as the Ducks are -125 and -1.5 (+240), I really cannot trust the Ducks to score four goals and win by two or shutout the Devils really. Their offense is not favorable for the puck spread, I do see the Ducks winning this game as the Devils struggle on the road. Ducks money line.

Other games on tonight

Calgary vs Edmonton (As of now Calgary are the under dogs, so I’d probably ride Calgary for that reason even though they go back to back, Calgary under dogs right now is a good reason for me to take them.)

Montreal vs Chicago: Who cares.

Dallas vs Vegas: Dallas

 

 

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