Tag: NFL Picks of the week

NFL WEEK 11 PICKS OF THE WEEK

SOME SPREAD….

Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons: Falcons to cover a three point spread in Atlanta, please give me it. I don’t care if the Cowboys won last week, the Falcons are an overlooked team right now and they will for sure win this game by 3+ points. 

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts: These two play each other two more times, one more in Tennessee and one now Indy. Both neck and neck in the standings and for the second wild card spot. I see the Colts taking care of business on home field after a big week ten win, the Colts will face a confident Tennessee team and cover a 1 point spread. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Giants: The Giants are home sure but the Buccaneers offense is going to have a field day with this team. Favored +1.5 to start the game, I like it a lot. Buccaneers will win this game upright anyways. 

Betting the under is boring, if you don’t like making money!

The Buccaneers game as noted above I said take the spread but the under is a good choice here too, the over/under for me is 52 no shot in hell that hits the Giants can barely score 20 points on the 49ers, the Buccaneers will have their way with the Giants but they won’t score 50 points. 

Oakland Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals: The over/under on this game is 41, the Raiders offense has trouble putting up 14 points, the Cardinals can arguably be capable of 20 here, either way I can’t see both teams putting up 21+ for the over to hit here. We saw the Cardinals put up 14 last week and the Raiders put up six. The Raiders average 16.3 points per game and Arizona averages 13.8, under, for sure.  

Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions: I see this game starting out a little slow the first two quarters will not be all that eventful or filled with much offense. In a game the Lions are trying to get back in the win column they are going to be smart with the ball and do their best to slow the Panthers offense down. The over/under is 49.5, I can see this under hitting score being around 21-14 Panthers. 

Life is too short to bet the under, go over!

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears: I feel as if with two good defenses and two good offenses this will be a close one for sure, the Bears are battling to keep that #1 seed in the NFC North and the Vikings are a game out right now. This will be an intense back and forth game. With the over/under being 45, I think this will hit. Both teams just need to score 22+ each which is more than possible. 

Houston Texans vs Washington Redskins: The over/under is only 43 the Texans are more than capable of putting up 30+ therefore the Redskins just need to score 13+, I see this game being a back and forth game for the most part. I think the Texans come out quick and jump on the Redskins, this game will be similar to when the Redskins played Atlanta two weeks ago. 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jaguars have not been great this year but their only chance to get a good win is this week, will they do it? Probably not but still the Jaguars are going to need to defend home field here and make it a game. The over/under is 47 it will come close for sure but the Steelers score 50+ last week and hit the over by themselves. We see the Steelers score 37+ and Jaguars 14+ very, very possible. I like this over as long as the Steelers do not rest any guys when the game is out of reach for the Jaguars. 

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NFL WEEK 10 PICKS OF THE WEEK

Go with the over!

New Orleans Saints( 7-1-0) vs Cincinnati Bengals(5-3-0)

The Bengals and Saints are two high scoring offenses, with AJ Green out this week it makes it a little easier on an already struggling Saints defense, despite the Saints defensive struggles this season their offense has surged this 7-1 record, and an NFL best team this year. The Saints have two weapons on offense do all the heavy lifting. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara with of course Drew Brees throwing the ball, they also have good additions with Tre ‘Quan Smith, Ted Ginn Jr and Benjamin Watson. It is apparent the Saints are going all in this season and I would not count them out in any game, especially this one. The Bengals need a big win as the Steelers ran over Carolina Thursday night they fall even more behind Pittsburgh for the division lead. Despite the Bengals must win situation, I do not see it happen, but what I do see happening is the over of 54 to hit, the spread is 6.5 therefore the Saints would need to win by a touchdown or more to cover, the money line is also -275 Saints, +225 Cincy. I like the over and Saints.

Detroit Lions(3-5-0) vs Chicago Bears(5-3-0)

The Bears must keep the wins coming, they have a good chance of winning the division too with the Vikings on a bye this week this is great time for the Bears to get some separation in the NFC North. Despite the Lions 3-5-0 record they have a team that could potentially knock off the Bears, they are a competitive team with a good offense, they have just been inconsistent. At home in Chicago where the Bears are 3-1 and on a two-game win streak, I like the Bears and the over in this game. The over/under is 41, for some reason it seems low, I think we can all agree the Bears and Lions are capable of 21 points each this seems like a solid over to pick. Bears could easily score 30 points and win 32-27, Bears for the win and the over.

Dallas Cowboys(3-5-0) vs Philadelphia Eagles(4-4-0) 

This is the time where the Eagles need to start getting back to their Super Bowl play, they have lost four games already this season with loses coming against two mediocre teams. The Eagles coming off a win over the Jaguars and a bye week has the perfect making for a Philadelphia offensive explosion we are looking for. The Eagles highest point total this season has 34 points vs the Giants. The Cowboys and Eagles clearly have a good rival going and if the Cowboys win and Eagles lose they are neck and neck for 2nd place. I don’t see the Eagles losing on home field, plus they are due for a break out game of 35+ points, Cowboys will keep it close as well in a divisional game like this, it seems possible that the over 43.5 will hit. I like the Eagles and the over here.

Cover the SPREAD!

Atlanta Falcons(4-4-0) vs Cleveland Browns(2-6-1)

The spread in this game is 6.5 the Falcons are capable of covering that for sure. Finally Julio Jones and Matt Ryan connected for a touchdown so the flood gates have opened. Plus with the Falcons coming off a big week 9 win over the Redskins in Washington, they are clearly capable of scoring of 38 on Washington they can do against the Browns also. The Browns offense is not one to over look plus the Browns have been notorious this season for uncertain outcomes and competitive play. The Browns can easily score 20 points and make it a win by three situation for Atlanta but with how the division is shaping up for the Falcons they cannot afford to lose this game and possibly the wild card. Going Falcons to over the 6.5 spread.

Washington Redskins(4-4-0) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers(3-5-0) 

The Bucs have been struggling as of late there is no denying that, they are 1-4 in their last five on a two game losing streak and basically out of the hunt. The Bucs offense though has shown signs of being unstoppable they rank among the top of the league for points and yards per game, going up against an offense that is the complete opposite that has trouble scoring. I think the Bucs come out early and get on the Redskins quick as long as the defense can hold up for the Bucs and they get an early 14+ point lead heading into the third quarter this game is all Bucs. The Redskins offense has struggled this season and their defense is not technically shutdown, there are holes on this defense for Washington and in a pass heavy offense the Buccaneers will be testing the Redskins pass defense all game. Buccaneers to cover 3 point spread for sure.

Some game(s)….Just take it! 

New England Patriots(7-2-0) vs Tennessee Titans(4-4-0)

The Patriots are going to win this game there is no hiding that, sure the Titans are solid team but they do not have the offensive power to keep up with Tom Brady and the Patriots offense, the game may be close going into the third quarter and you may be thinking your bet won’t hit but the Patriots will probably score 21 in the second half and win the game by 14 points.

Arizona Cardinals( 2-6-0) vs Kansas City Chiefs(8-1-0)

If your heart desires this game so be it but the Chiefs are going to win the reward will be small to nothing and the spread is 17 points, which honestly they could probably cover but it is way to large to go after, the over is 51 which I see going under solely because the Cardinals will not score more than 17 points and the Chiefs will score around 30 probably. The over/under is even more tricky cause the Chiefs can score 40 points but still I could even see Arizona score 10 points all game. Either stay away or go money line.

Way down under (under’s to hit)

Miami Dolphins(5-4-0) vs Green Bay Packers(3-4-1)

The over/under is 47.5 which means 48 and that means the Dolphins and Packers will need to score 24 points each. I see the Packers scoring around 30 and the Dolphins in the 14 range, Dolphins offense does not have much going for them and the Packers are playing with a banged up Aaron Rodgers where if this game is out of reach for Miami, Rodgers could sit to rest up. Probably the under of 47.5.

Los Angeles Chargers(6-2-0) vs Oakland Raiders(1-7-0)

The Raiders offense barely was capable of scoring three points vs San Francisco and they will not score anything more vs a better defense. the Chargers will more than likely control the clock all game, score around 32 points, Raiders score 10 at most and the under hits. The game will be a snooze fest come the 4th quarter it will be just Los Angeles running the ball, eating the clock. Not enough offensive power on both sides for this over to hit plus with a checked out Oakland team this game will be a bore.