Tag: NFL Picks

NFL WEEK 11 PICKS OF THE WEEK

SOME SPREAD….

Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons: Falcons to cover a three point spread in Atlanta, please give me it. I don’t care if the Cowboys won last week, the Falcons are an overlooked team right now and they will for sure win this game by 3+ points. 

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts: These two play each other two more times, one more in Tennessee and one now Indy. Both neck and neck in the standings and for the second wild card spot. I see the Colts taking care of business on home field after a big week ten win, the Colts will face a confident Tennessee team and cover a 1 point spread. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Giants: The Giants are home sure but the Buccaneers offense is going to have a field day with this team. Favored +1.5 to start the game, I like it a lot. Buccaneers will win this game upright anyways. 

Betting the under is boring, if you don’t like making money!

The Buccaneers game as noted above I said take the spread but the under is a good choice here too, the over/under for me is 52 no shot in hell that hits the Giants can barely score 20 points on the 49ers, the Buccaneers will have their way with the Giants but they won’t score 50 points. 

Oakland Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals: The over/under on this game is 41, the Raiders offense has trouble putting up 14 points, the Cardinals can arguably be capable of 20 here, either way I can’t see both teams putting up 21+ for the over to hit here. We saw the Cardinals put up 14 last week and the Raiders put up six. The Raiders average 16.3 points per game and Arizona averages 13.8, under, for sure.  

Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions: I see this game starting out a little slow the first two quarters will not be all that eventful or filled with much offense. In a game the Lions are trying to get back in the win column they are going to be smart with the ball and do their best to slow the Panthers offense down. The over/under is 49.5, I can see this under hitting score being around 21-14 Panthers. 

Life is too short to bet the under, go over!

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears: I feel as if with two good defenses and two good offenses this will be a close one for sure, the Bears are battling to keep that #1 seed in the NFC North and the Vikings are a game out right now. This will be an intense back and forth game. With the over/under being 45, I think this will hit. Both teams just need to score 22+ each which is more than possible. 

Houston Texans vs Washington Redskins: The over/under is only 43 the Texans are more than capable of putting up 30+ therefore the Redskins just need to score 13+, I see this game being a back and forth game for the most part. I think the Texans come out quick and jump on the Redskins, this game will be similar to when the Redskins played Atlanta two weeks ago. 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jaguars have not been great this year but their only chance to get a good win is this week, will they do it? Probably not but still the Jaguars are going to need to defend home field here and make it a game. The over/under is 47 it will come close for sure but the Steelers score 50+ last week and hit the over by themselves. We see the Steelers score 37+ and Jaguars 14+ very, very possible. I like this over as long as the Steelers do not rest any guys when the game is out of reach for the Jaguars. 

NFL WEEK 10 PICKS OF THE WEEK

Go with the over!

New Orleans Saints( 7-1-0) vs Cincinnati Bengals(5-3-0)

The Bengals and Saints are two high scoring offenses, with AJ Green out this week it makes it a little easier on an already struggling Saints defense, despite the Saints defensive struggles this season their offense has surged this 7-1 record, and an NFL best team this year. The Saints have two weapons on offense do all the heavy lifting. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara with of course Drew Brees throwing the ball, they also have good additions with Tre ‘Quan Smith, Ted Ginn Jr and Benjamin Watson. It is apparent the Saints are going all in this season and I would not count them out in any game, especially this one. The Bengals need a big win as the Steelers ran over Carolina Thursday night they fall even more behind Pittsburgh for the division lead. Despite the Bengals must win situation, I do not see it happen, but what I do see happening is the over of 54 to hit, the spread is 6.5 therefore the Saints would need to win by a touchdown or more to cover, the money line is also -275 Saints, +225 Cincy. I like the over and Saints.

Detroit Lions(3-5-0) vs Chicago Bears(5-3-0)

The Bears must keep the wins coming, they have a good chance of winning the division too with the Vikings on a bye this week this is great time for the Bears to get some separation in the NFC North. Despite the Lions 3-5-0 record they have a team that could potentially knock off the Bears, they are a competitive team with a good offense, they have just been inconsistent. At home in Chicago where the Bears are 3-1 and on a two-game win streak, I like the Bears and the over in this game. The over/under is 41, for some reason it seems low, I think we can all agree the Bears and Lions are capable of 21 points each this seems like a solid over to pick. Bears could easily score 30 points and win 32-27, Bears for the win and the over.

Dallas Cowboys(3-5-0) vs Philadelphia Eagles(4-4-0) 

This is the time where the Eagles need to start getting back to their Super Bowl play, they have lost four games already this season with loses coming against two mediocre teams. The Eagles coming off a win over the Jaguars and a bye week has the perfect making for a Philadelphia offensive explosion we are looking for. The Eagles highest point total this season has 34 points vs the Giants. The Cowboys and Eagles clearly have a good rival going and if the Cowboys win and Eagles lose they are neck and neck for 2nd place. I don’t see the Eagles losing on home field, plus they are due for a break out game of 35+ points, Cowboys will keep it close as well in a divisional game like this, it seems possible that the over 43.5 will hit. I like the Eagles and the over here.

Cover the SPREAD!

Atlanta Falcons(4-4-0) vs Cleveland Browns(2-6-1)

The spread in this game is 6.5 the Falcons are capable of covering that for sure. Finally Julio Jones and Matt Ryan connected for a touchdown so the flood gates have opened. Plus with the Falcons coming off a big week 9 win over the Redskins in Washington, they are clearly capable of scoring of 38 on Washington they can do against the Browns also. The Browns offense is not one to over look plus the Browns have been notorious this season for uncertain outcomes and competitive play. The Browns can easily score 20 points and make it a win by three situation for Atlanta but with how the division is shaping up for the Falcons they cannot afford to lose this game and possibly the wild card. Going Falcons to over the 6.5 spread.

Washington Redskins(4-4-0) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers(3-5-0) 

The Bucs have been struggling as of late there is no denying that, they are 1-4 in their last five on a two game losing streak and basically out of the hunt. The Bucs offense though has shown signs of being unstoppable they rank among the top of the league for points and yards per game, going up against an offense that is the complete opposite that has trouble scoring. I think the Bucs come out early and get on the Redskins quick as long as the defense can hold up for the Bucs and they get an early 14+ point lead heading into the third quarter this game is all Bucs. The Redskins offense has struggled this season and their defense is not technically shutdown, there are holes on this defense for Washington and in a pass heavy offense the Buccaneers will be testing the Redskins pass defense all game. Buccaneers to cover 3 point spread for sure.

Some game(s)….Just take it! 

New England Patriots(7-2-0) vs Tennessee Titans(4-4-0)

The Patriots are going to win this game there is no hiding that, sure the Titans are solid team but they do not have the offensive power to keep up with Tom Brady and the Patriots offense, the game may be close going into the third quarter and you may be thinking your bet won’t hit but the Patriots will probably score 21 in the second half and win the game by 14 points.

Arizona Cardinals( 2-6-0) vs Kansas City Chiefs(8-1-0)

If your heart desires this game so be it but the Chiefs are going to win the reward will be small to nothing and the spread is 17 points, which honestly they could probably cover but it is way to large to go after, the over is 51 which I see going under solely because the Cardinals will not score more than 17 points and the Chiefs will score around 30 probably. The over/under is even more tricky cause the Chiefs can score 40 points but still I could even see Arizona score 10 points all game. Either stay away or go money line.

Way down under (under’s to hit)

Miami Dolphins(5-4-0) vs Green Bay Packers(3-4-1)

The over/under is 47.5 which means 48 and that means the Dolphins and Packers will need to score 24 points each. I see the Packers scoring around 30 and the Dolphins in the 14 range, Dolphins offense does not have much going for them and the Packers are playing with a banged up Aaron Rodgers where if this game is out of reach for Miami, Rodgers could sit to rest up. Probably the under of 47.5.

Los Angeles Chargers(6-2-0) vs Oakland Raiders(1-7-0)

The Raiders offense barely was capable of scoring three points vs San Francisco and they will not score anything more vs a better defense. the Chargers will more than likely control the clock all game, score around 32 points, Raiders score 10 at most and the under hits. The game will be a snooze fest come the 4th quarter it will be just Los Angeles running the ball, eating the clock. Not enough offensive power on both sides for this over to hit plus with a checked out Oakland team this game will be a bore.

NFL WEEK 9 PICKS; TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK!

Detroit Lions +5.5 Money line +195 Over/under 49

VS

Minnesota Vikings -5.5, -240 money line

Best choice here? Possibly the over, the Vikings are capable of solid 30 points especially at home the Vikings clearly have the advantage here. The spread does worry me a little because as the Lions are coming off a bad loss last week and the Vikings are not looking too hot this year themselves. The Lions are 3-4 on the year as the Vikings are 4-3-1 tied for first with the Packers breathing down their throat. The Lions need to pick up a win this week the season is young still but if they don’t win the division, their next chance is the wild card. The Lions have an interesting offense and a pretty solid defense but with two teams that rely a lot on their offenses to do the heavy lifting, this could be an over style game. I am leaning towards the Vikings just because they are the better all around team, at home, coming off a loss to New Orleans last week. Vikings for the win, probably not the over here although don’t count me on that but I’d feel safer with the Vikings to win by seven.

Pittsburgh Steelers +2, Money line +110, over/under 47

vs

Baltimore Ravens -2, Money line -130

We all know how these games shape up to be. A blood bath. The Ravens and Steelers have many years of animosity between them it is fair to say they do not like each other. The Steelers have found a rhythm now after starting out slow, James Conner looks to be filling the void of an absent LeVeon Bell, Antonio Brown is well, AB. Their two tight ends are lethal and of course Juju Smith Schuster is a solid wide out. The Steelers offense has been a focal point to this teams success this year as usually their defense is a big part in their teams success thus far their defense has not been all that great allowing 24.6 points per game. The Ravens on other hand have been a middle of the pack football team this year ranking 5th in total yards(2350), 6th in passing yards(1565), 13th in rushing yards(785) yet last in points per game(17.1). The Ravens have won some big games and lost some big games as well. But throw out all records and past weeks when these to come to play because between the implications on the standings right now and the history of these two. Baltimore and Pittsburgh always ranks up to be a game to watch. In terms of betting, I like the Steelers +2, I first off believe the Steelers will win, in Baltimore I understand but the Steelers are riding high and confident. Going Steelers +2.

New York Jets +2.5, Money line +125, over/under 43.5

vs 

Miami Dolphins -2.5, Money line -145

NFL WEEK 9; Jets vs Dolphins
Can Sam Darnold and the Jets come into Miami and upset the Dolphins?

Another divisional game and a game where all records mean nothing. The Jets always come to play against their divisional opponents it just when they get out of the conference and out of the division that leaves them as a question mark. team With their two top receivers back Quincy Enunwa and Robbie Anderson the Jets offense has some light to it, against one of the worst rush defense as well Isiah Crowell should find the room. The Dolphins on the other hand are a weird team, inconsistent and just confused right now as they have beat the Raiders, Jets, Titans and Bears and lost to Cincinnati, New England, Detroit and Houston by one they are just either a hit or miss. They can score points or not but their defense is the big concern here they allow 3264 yards ranking 29th in the NFL. They have major defensive issues which has resulted in scores like 43-42 and 32-31 this year. They already took down the Jets this year and look do it again. In my opinion the Jets come in Miami and beat them. They do what the Dolphins did to them week two and win on their home turf. Jets +2.5 and definitely the under.

Atlanta Falcons +1, Money line +100, over/under 48

vs 

Washington Redskins -1, -120

The money line is like a push so definitely do not even bother with this games money line. The over is questionable because the Redskins really do not score a lot of points but if they want to win this game they will have to find a way to do so with the Falcons averaging 30.3 points per game compared to the Redskins 19.1 points per game. The Falcons have allowed 2936 total yards (2147 passing and 789 rushing). The Falcons poor defense is made up by one of the most points per game teams in the league. The Redskins at home though, coming off a big win over the Giants and on a three-game win streak they are sitting atop the NFC East and showing no signs of slowing down. I really like the Redskins -1 here, if they do win, which they will it will be by more than one point I believe.

Houston Texans -1, Money line -120, over/under 46 

vs 

Denver Broncos +1, Money line +100 

Houston Texans v Denver Broncos WEEK 9Sure the Broncos are a middle of the pack team with a pretty good defense but the Texans are rolling right now and this would not be the time to bet against them. Yes, they are away and not in Houston but this is a give me game in my eyes. The Texans will win this game by 7 points, Deshaun Watson will have a day, Demaryius Thomas will finally catch a touchdown pass and the Texans will be in full on playoff mode. We knew the Texans were capable of this play to start the year, they came out slow but are getting it together with a 100% healthy Watson, DeAndre Hopkins and 5th ranked rushing game the Texans are going to win and only need to cover a 1 point spread. THANK YOU VERY MUCH (As Ryan Whitney would say). The Broncos average 23.5 points to Houston’s 24.6, Broncos average 380.8 yards a game to Houston’s 379.8 yards a game. Statistically speaking these teams are very close on both sides of the ball, but I am going with the hot hand in Houston this week.

Los Angeles Chargers -1, Money line -120, over/under 47.5 

VS

Seattle Seahawks +1, +100 

Again another solid pick here this week the Chargers are another team on a roll right now and if they want to get into the playoffs they cannot take a week off. There is a slim chance they win the division with the Chiefs 7-1 right now playing Cleveland this week therefore that first wild card spot is there and it comes from winning games like this. They have an equally as good defense as they do offense, their offense ranks in the middle of the pack for total yards, passing yards and rushing yards, they out weight the Seahawks in points per game with their 27.9 vs Seattle’s 24.4. The Seahawks had a big win last week vs Detroit and it gave them some life but I think the Chargers continue to roll and take this game with ease, covering the 1 point spread but I don’t see the over hitting also the money lines are a push don’t bother.

UHHHHH I HAVE NO IDEA PICKS

Bears -10.5 vs Bills +10.5 with an over/under of 37.5, uhhhhhh. I think the Bears win but the spread and over/under is terrifying.

Rams -1.5 vs Saints +1.5 over/under 58.5. Uhhhhhh, the Rams are favorited to win they are the best team in football right now but Drew Brees and the Saints offense in the mega dome. Scares me a lot I am staying away from this game but the over/under seems like it is doable. Don’t quote me on that though!

Packers +5.5 vs Patriots -5.5 over/under 57. Uhhhhhh, the Patriots are well the Patriots and the Packers do not seem to be that lethal this season but we can never under estimate Aaron Rodgers and that offense as they almost beat the Rams last week. Spread worries for me New England, over/under is high. I am staying away from this game but the over/under seems like it is doable. Don’t quote me on that though!

 

NFL WEEK 8 PICKS: 4:00PM GAMES & SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Colts vs Raiders

This is a tough one, two struggling teams right now, as the Colts battle a plethora of injuries luckily they have TY Hilton back, besides Andrew Luck and Hilton connection there is not many other weapons on this offense for the Colts. James Doyle the tight end is a viable option but he is only going to get 3-4 yards after the catch. The Colts run game is terrible they’ve used four different running backs this season, we cannot rely on much from either offense to be honest. The Raiders have been dealing with QB issues as Derek Carr has not been what they have expected, Marshawn Lynch has been hurt, leaving it to Doug Martin and Jalen Richard, with the departure of Amari Cooper, Martavis Bryant and Jared Cook are the biggest threats on this offense. I would definitely not expect the over of 51.5 to hit. The Colts are favored to win, having to cover a 4 point spread. I would probably either stay away from this game or go Colts money line/under.

49ers vs Cardinals

This is a great game, not so much offensive wise but the 49ers have to cover a 2.5 point spread for this to hit. I would say that is the easiest choice here as the over/under is 40.5 and with the 49ers 22.6 points per game and Cardinals 13.1 points the over is unlikely to hit to be honest. The Cardinals have not clicked in any area of the game, defensively they allow 26.3 points while the 49ers allow 31.1. I’d be surprised to see if the over hits here, I’d stay smart and go 49ers to cover the spread.

Packers vs Rams 

Most likely going to be a shootout. Depending on Aaron Rodgers health and all this game could easily hit the over of 58 points, which would mean the Packers/Rams score around 29 points each. With both offenses averaging around 25+ points each this is do able. The Packers are capable of scoring 30 and the Rams are 100% capable as well. But it seems like a trap game to me, a high over and Packers given 7.5 points to start, it’ll be an interesting game for sure. We know both the offense are good but the Rams also have one of the best defenses in the league. The Rams will for sure score around 30 points and the Packers could drop around 21-27. I would say stay away from the spread and go with the over and Rams here.

Saints vs Vikings (SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL)

We are going to see two shootouts back to back. Both these defenses have not looked great this year and the Saints are known to be a high powered offense that will possess the ball forever and score. The Vikings defense allows on average 23.6 points per game while the Saints offense averages 34 points per game. Easily will see a 30 spot from the Saints and around 27 points from the Vikings. The over here is 54.5 another pretty high over. If the Rams and Packers over does not hit or come close, maybe be smart with this one. With the Saints to cover 2.5 point spread, I think that is do able. I’d go Saints spread, possibly the over. Last game of the day so don’t kill yourself if you are already having a bad day, you won’t resurrect your day by going big on this game and winning it all. If you had some shitty picks in the 1PM and 4PM games call it day and walk away.

 

Note: All lines and over/under are directly taken from mybookie.ag. All sports wagering is to be done by 21 years and older participants. Depending on your location rules and regulations may apply. Please play responsible and at your own risk. 

 

NFL WEEK 8 PICKS: 1:00 PM GAMES

Top 1:00 PM games, lines, over/under and more!

Browns @ Steelers

The Browns are given 8 points, meaning Pittsburgh has to cover and win by nine. For some reason, I could see the Browns possibly covering the spread losing by 3-6 points. The Browns defense has not been terrible. The glaring stat here is the Browns have allowed 413.6 yards per game, and 25.3 points per game so they definitely struggle but there are times they show some bright spots. The over/under in this game is also 48.5, I think we can expect Pittsburgh to put up 30-36 points meaning Cleveland would need to put up around 16-20 points. Something I think is definitely possible, the Browns score around 21.6 points a game and Pittsburgh averages around 28.5 points. I would say go Pittsburgh money line to stay safe, over to be on the line and the Steelers spread to be risky.

Jets @ Bears

The Bears are coming off two bad losses and have home field advantage. The Jets have not looked consistent this year, they have been a little all over the place this season. Some decent wins and some bad loses but they are always going to be a team that competes. The Bears certainly will not take the Jets lightly as they have lost to Miami and New England the last two weeks. With the NFC North being so tight right now the Bears cannot afford another bad loss, they will definitely win this game I just don’t know about covering a 10 point spread.. I believe Chicago comes out on top. The spread I have is Bears to cover 9.5 points, so a 10 point win is a must for the Bears if you go spread. The over/under is 42.5 which is a little low, makes sense though the Jets average around 26 points and Bears 28.3 points, realistically based off their averages the over is for sure to hit. But I could see Chicago holding the Jets to around 15 points while they only score 21-27 points. The under is always risky to bet but last week seven under’s hit. I’d do Chicago, with the under.

Redskins @ Giants (PICK OF THE WEEK)

A divisional game is always a must. The Giants have been off to another terrible start and anytime you bank on this team to hit an over you are playing with fire. This may be the best game of the week though, the Redskins are to cover -1.5 meaning win by two points and you hit. I’d 100% guarantee the Redskins will win by at least 2 points, this seems like a trap game, a game where they want you to be all over. Redskins offense averages around 21 points while the Giants average 19.6 points, the Redskins defense allows just 20.2 points. We can expect the Giants to score around 14 points then that means the Redskins to score probably 21+ points against the Giants defense that allows 26.4 points. Redskins to cover the spread.

Ravens @ Panthers 

Another small spread, the Ravens are given 2 points to start while the Panthers have to win by three points to hit. The over/under is 44. Looking at both these teams, the Panthers making a push for the NFC South lead coming off a big win last week vs Philadelphia and the Ravens coming off a brutal loss, one that Justin Tucker will never forget this game is going to come down to the wire. The Ravens are tied right now for the AFC North lead the Bengals play a tough Tampa Bay team and Steelers play the Browns, this means this is a big game for Baltimore. Per say they don’t win I would expect the over to hit here and the Panthers to cover the 2 points, if they win it’ll either be by one touchdown or a field goal. Panthers with the spread and over for this game sounds good to me.

4:25PM and Sunday night game picks coming later today, stay tuned. 

 

Just a reminder all lines are from mybookie.ag. Sports wagering rules and regulations may vary depending on one’s location. You must 21 years or older to participate, play responsible and at your own risk. 

NFL PICK OF THE WEEK: WEEK 2/WEEK 17

Alright, so I will be starting an NHL pick of the week and NFL pick of the week from here on out. This will be short and simple nothing crazy no big detail explanation just showing you my pick and stating my reasoning. One pick every NFL week and 1 pick every week when the NHL regular season starts.

Here it is, NFL pick of the week. 

Giants @ Cowboys: 

NFL FREE PICK WEEK 2Why the Giants well it is this simple, the Giants yes have been not so great vs Dallas over the last 7 years, they are 7-9 since 2010 and 4-7 on Sunday Night football vs Dallas. Sure, it may seem like all signs are pointing to Dallas for this one but, this is not a 2017, 2016, 2015 Dallas team anymore. Dak Prescott has thrown 1 touchdown pass in the last four weeks he has a 63 completion percentage and his highest passing game was 200+ yards in week 15, since that he has thrown for around 160-181 yards in the last four weeks. On top of that the Cowboys receivers are who? Allen Hurns, Tavon Austin and Cole Beasley? Well on the other end of the ball the Giants have Odell Beckham Jr, Sterling Shepard, Evan Engram and now a run game in Seqon Barkley. Yes, the Cowboys have Ezekiel Elliot so it will be a tale of Barkley vs Elliot. And the Giants all they have to do really is shut down the Cowboys offense which is not too hard, keep Dak under 200 yards which seems do able. Make sure the Giants o-line is not a complete abysmal and this game is all Giants. They lost by 5 by to the Jaguars and the Cowboys lost to the Panthers by 8 and only scored 8 points themselves in week one. The Giants in Dallas, mark it down and lock it in. Done deal people, see ya next week.

NFL: Week TWO Predictions

Week Two Predictions: 

Minnesota keeps it close with Green Bay but Packers come out on top. Late in this game I don’t think Kirk Cousins is going to be able to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers as we saw in week one with Rodgers.

A dog fight in New Orleans? I don’t think the Browns are going to go down as easy anymore. This will be a huge test for both teams. Browns come out after a tie, and Saints come out after a terrible loss. A big game, lets’ see if Tyrod can have a better completion percentage then 36 percent.

New England Patriots vs Jackonsville Jaguars Week 2

New England vs Jacksonville a repeat of the AFC Championship, this will be a fun one. Jalen Ramsey will be up this usual, Tom Brady vs Blake Bortles, Corey Clement was added to the Patriots roster. This is going to be either a shoot out or 30 point total game. Too unpredictable but the Jags in Jacksonville I think they get their redemption this game. 

Jets go 2-0 to start, home opener coming off a 48 point performance and Darnold now feeling a little more confident going up against a worse defense than Detroit. Miami and Jets always have good games as it is divisional rivals but The Dolphins offense and defense do not worry me too much for the Jets to handle.

Philadelphia tested on the road after a big win for Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers had their way with the Saints defense but to do it against an Eagles defense that allowed 12 points and 299 total yards is going to be a test for Fitzpatrick and the Bucs. I don’t the Bucs offense having their way once again, a questionable start for Wentz, and with Nick Foles in this may be another 40 point total game.

Jimmy G and the 49ers bounce back, what a terrible start for the 49ers offense, Jimmy G threw 3 INTS and a measly 261 yards going 15/33 in week one. The 49ers come back home vs a shaken up Detroit team.

Giants in Dallas, the two offense struggled last week as the Giants put up 15 points and the Cowboys put up 8 points. A divisional rivalry game, could lead to a blow out. Two very good running backs going head to head, this will be a game of who can control the ground. The Giants have better offensive tools but if they cannot click on that offensive line it will be tough. Still I think with how the Giants played last week they will come out on top this week vs Dallas.