Tag: NHL rumors

The Ottawa Senators Should DEFINITELY Sign Mark Stone Over Matt Duchene

This a major issue for Ottawa right now. Duchene or Stone? Stone is 26-years-old, an elite scoring winger, perhaps not a franchise level talent but he ranks among the top-20 for players 26-years-old or younger. Duchene is 28-years-old and again an elite forward, can we say franchise talent, sure but he is 28-years-old now so I do not know if I am building a franchise around him right now.

Duchene has played 697 games in the NHL collecting a respectable 525 points (222G, 303A), a 0.75 point per game player in his career. Not too shabby. On the year he has 48 points in 41 games (21G, 27A), has recorded six 50+ point seasons in his career and is a player that skates extremely well, can score goals and play with just about anyone. He is playing Bobby Ryan and Ryan Dzingel and producing quite well.

Stone has played 359 NHL games recording a very respectable 300 career NHL points (117G, 183A), a 0.83 point per game player. On the year Stone has 51 points in 52 games (22G, 29A). Over his career he has recorded over 50 points every year he has been in the NHL despite 2012-13 when he played 4 games and 2013-14 when he played 19 games (in which he had 8 points). Stone is playing with two very young players this year Colin White and Brady Tkachuk and at almost a point per game (0.98).

In my opinion the Senators should move on from Matt Duchene for two reasons, for Duchene to stay they are going to need to over pay him a ton, he is going to ask for 10.5-11 million dollars a year and while Duchene is good he is not worth that money. Reason two, while he seems to be fitting in well with Ottawa right now, when he gets his contract, signs and gets comfortable there, he may not be the same player. Players always play well going into a contract year or on the verge of free agency. He is clearly not a great team/locker room guy with the incident in Ottawa this year in Colorado two years ago. I think Stone fits the Senators way better than Duchene, Stone was drafted in Ottawa has made a name for himself in Ottawa, has a history here, you know what you are going to get from him, his teammates love him and overall Stone just seems like a more secure and suitable option for Ottawa.

As well Stone will probably cost around 7.5-8.5, comparable to a Ryan O’Reilly player who is on a sheet of 7.5 million a year. Stone may cost a little more than O’Reilly per say just because Stone would be their guy and Ottawa is not in a great situation therefore throw him an extra 1-1.5 million a year just because it may not be too great for the first 3-4 years of his contract. Duchene is going to ask for 10+ million for five to six years, money wise, Stone will be cheaper and looking at their career numbers and what they bring to the table it is not like Duchene is head over heels a better player than Stone.

Keep Stone in Ottawa, get a ton of assets for Duchene and move on. With Duchene’s last statement regarding his contract extension talk.

“If I had a gut feeling I’d probably go with it right now but at this point we’re not at that point.” Duchene said after speaking about his contract extension.

This quote alone would make me want to not sign Duchene. What does this even mean? He is just delaying the inevitable of alluding to the fact that he is not going to re-sign in Ottawa. I feel as if Ottawa and Duchene’s agent are way off and it would make no sense to try and work out a deal when you can save the money and get a ton of assets for Duchene.

Advertisements

Top Headlines To Keep Your Eye On As The NHL Trade Deadline Nears…

The All-Star break is over and the regular season is back underway tonight which means the trade deadline is nearing and more speculation about where July 2019 UFA (unrestricted free agents) will end up either before the trade deadline or in the off-season continues.. As of today we have exactly three weeks until the trade deadline so things will be getting pretty dicey over the next 2-3 weeks. For now these are my top story lines to be aware of heading into a pretty important month for teams.

1. Artemi Panarin or Sergei Bobrovsky? the Blue Jackets are at a very difficult road right now, they have two important UFA’s to tend to right now and both can make or break their future. The Blue Jackets seem more inclined to treat their top forward Panarin to a contract, his agent and the Blue Jackets have met now two times but we have not heard anything yet. Bobrovsky has been on the “hot seat” with the Blue Jackets since his stint a few weeks back when he got pulled and never returned to the bench. The Blue Jackets need to decide what they are going to do. They are a top-three Metropolitan division team, have eyes on the playoffs and if everything goes right they can make a run in the playoffs, but if they do that and hold onto both Panarin and Bob they will let the two walk for essentially nothing. I would see Bobrovsky moved at the trade deadline and Panarin re-sign.

2. Ottawa Senators cap situation: The Senators have a similar situation to the Blue Jackets except they have five important players to re-sign and cannot afford any of them. They have a projected 7.43 million in cap space right now. Matt Duchene, Mark Stone, Ryan Dzingel, Colin White and Cody Ceci are all due for contracts. Mark Stone will probably get around 7.5 million lets say therefore they hit their cap hit. Matt Duchene is going to cost around 8-8.5 million probably for 6-7 years, Colin White will cost 2.5-3 million at 4-5 years, Ryan Dzingel will cost 4-5 million at 4-5 years, Cody Ceci will cost 4-4.5 million at 4-5 years. Therefore with all these players contracts that is 27.5 million in cap space between these guys alone. When we add up that 27.5 million and the rest of their players right it comes to 58.93 million in cap, plus all the players on their entry level deals it is 65.63 million, not to mention in two years Brady Tkachuk and Thomas Chabot are going to be due for a contract. This is a tough situation for the Senators, they have a 72 million cap hit and the cap is raising next year but the only way this does work out is if Duchene and Stone get those projected numbers and White/Dzingel/Ceci take those contracts as well.

3. Rangers on the rebuild still? The Rangers have been in the story line for rebuliding since last season but the newest players on the block for the Rangers are Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Hayes and Adam McQuaid, all these players are UFA’s in July and the way the Rangers are going it seems obvious they are going to want to trade them and build for the future. The Rangers have to worry about Anthony Deangelo and Neal Pionk as their main RFA’s this summer. Therefore if the Rangers are going to trade anyone it is going to be Hayes, Zuccarello for the sole reason of what they can receive in return form a contending playoff team.

4. Who are the top trade targets to keep an eye on right now? Wayne Simmonds, Jason Spezza, Andre Burakovksy, Michael Ferland, Brian Boyle, Derick Brassard. My prediciton for these players are Stars receive Burakovsky he can easily slide in their top-six and help them out. Simmonds continues to get targeted by Winnipeg, Nashville, Dallas, Ferland is a top contender in Pittsburgh.