Tag: nhl sports book

NHL Picks: December 11th 2018

Arizona Coyotes vs Boston Bruins

You are probably thinking, oh Bruins easy one for sure. Well, it won’t be that easy for Boston. Sure they have a better team but the Bruins are hurt, and I know they beat Toronto but the Bruins always beat Toronto. The Coyotes have been a tough team to play against this year and I would not be surprised one bit if they took this game. The Coyotes are 4-5-1 coming into tonight on a two-game skid and 7-5-1 on the road. While the Coyotes score just 2.57 goals for, the Bruins only score 2.67 goals for per game. The Bruins are coming into tonight on a two-game win streak, 5-4-1 in their last ten and 10-3-0 at home. The Bruins and Coyotes are a very similar team, they both struggle to score but defend well as the Bruins allow the least goals per game (2.53)  in the league and the Coyotes are not far behind being ranked 4th (2.71). With Adin Hill starting out hot and “struggling” a bit his last two starts we will see another test for the young goaltender. The thing that makes me want to take Arizona here is that they are due for an upset win and the Bruins may take their opponent a little lightly. I like the puck spread for Arizona tonight plus +1.5, but they are also +155 as the Bruins are -185, the over/under is something I could see hitting. I’d be surprised to see either team score three plus. Arizona puck spread tonight.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes

Even though Toronto is on the road they are still the favorites go figure as the Hurricanes are 7-4-3 at home and 5-4-1 in their last ten but the Leafs are 11-4-0 on the road and 6-3-1 in their last ten. Clear favorites and there is probably not much need to go deeper into this conversation. The Hurricanes starter situation is a huge question mark right now. Sure they may keep it close but the Leafs will come out with a win tonight. The Leafs are -135 and -1.5, and the Hurricanes are +115, honestly not as big as a spread as I imagined, I’d still go Leafs here tonight.

Buffalo Sabres vs Los Angeles Kings

What a turn of events for Buffalo go from the hottest team in the NHL to the worst team so quickly. The Sabres are on a five-game skid against one of the worst teams in the NHL and the Sabres are home, I am expecting a 5-2 win from Buffalo. They do not come out on top in this game and lose six straight it will be feel like the world is on the Sabres shoulders. They need to get over this hump and it comes at a perfect time vs the Kings. The Sabres are 5-3-2 in their last ten and 9-3-2 at home as the Kings are 4-6-0 in their last ten and 4-9-0 on the road. The Kings are going with Cal Petersen tonight as the Sabres go Carter Hutton. The Sabres are 19th in goals for (2.93) and15th in goals against (2.93) the Kings score the least amount of goals in the league (2.16) and allow a league average of 3.03 against per game. The enticing line here tonight is the puck spread, the Sabres are -1.5 at +145 instead of going money line where the Sabres are -190 I would rather bank on the Sabres winning by two goals and winning like I said 4-1, 3-0, 5-1 either or really are all possibilities. Going Sabres puck spread.

Florida Panthers vs St. Louis Blues 

Just a disgusting game to gamble on tonight, almost makes me sick writing this game. The Blues are struggling and it seems they will not be getting any better any time soon especially after Todd Bortuzzo and Zach Sanford are fighting each other in practice. The Panthers while they are coming off a shootout lose they scored five goals and are capable of blowing the Blues out of the water. The only concern is that Vladimir Tarasenko came out and apologized to the fans about playing so poorly at home, so the Blues may actually come out buzzing. The Blues are 3-6-1 in their last ten and 6-8-2 at home, the Panthers are 3-4-3 in their last ten and 5-6-2 on the road. With the Panthers 3.29 goals per game and Blues 2.79 goals per game vs the Panthers 3.5 goals against and Blues 3.32 goals against, with Jake Allen in net you really never know which way this could go. It can be a 4-0 game or 2-1 game. I see the Panthers coming out on top so go money line.

Edmonton Oilers vs Colorado Avalanche 

This is probably game of the night. Since the addition of Ken Hitchcock the Oilers have been a wagon, 7-2-1 under Hitchcock and completely turning around their season. With the emergence of Mikko Koskinen the Oilers have propelled into the discussion for a wild card spot in the Pacific division. The Oilers are coming off a huge win vs Calgary in the battle of Alberta and they are 7-2-1 in their last ten, 7-8-1 on the road as the Avalanche are 7-2-1 in their last ten and 6-2-3 at home. This has the making to be a low scoring game I feel like. It will be tight defensively and we will not see either team take too many chances early on. Although the Avalanche score 3.6 goals per game the Oilers allow 2.9 goals per game. The Oilers though only score 2.7 goals per game and Colorado allows 2.9 goals per game, this could be a game where the under hits, but over/under in the NHL is never something to go after. Tonight the Oilers are +1.5 and +125 as the Avalanche are -1.5 and -145, the puck spread for Edmonton may be a good choice despite the small pay out but I really think the Avs stop the Edmonton hot streak early in its tracks and play well at home. Avalanche for the winner.

Other games on tonight: 

Detroit vs Washington: Washington

Ottawa vs Nashville: Nashville

Chicago vs Winnipeg: Winnipeg

Vancouver vs Columbus: Columbus

Montreal vs Minnesota: Minnesota

Bet I took tonight was: Arizona +1.5, Winnipeg -1.5 and Buffalo -1.5 

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NHL Picks: December 9th 2018

Philadelphia Flyers vs Winnipeg Jets

The Flyers are coming into todays game off an overtime loss to Columbus and a win vs Buffalo. Now they get another big test vs Winnipeg on the road. The Flyers are 3-5-2 in their last ten and 7-5-1 on the road as the Jets are 6-4-0 in their last ten and 9-4-2 at home. The Jets are clearly the better team, they have an all around sound team when Connor Hellebuyck wants to show up and even with Hellebuyck playing mediocre the Jets still have 17 wins on the year. The Jets score 3.32 goals per game vs a Flyers 3.11 goals per game but the Flyers allow 3.48 goals per game as the Jets allow 2.78 goals against. The Jets power play is 4th in the league as the Flyers is 30th, on top of that the Flyers have the 29th ranked penalty kill in the league so if the Jets find themselves up a man at all this game could be over before we know it. The Jets are clear favorites coming into today, they are -230 as the Flyers are +180, the Jets are -1.5 as the Flyers are +1.5 and the over/under is 6.5 so basically 7 which is possible but tough. I see this game going to the Jets but there is not much draw in anything for this game.

Vancouver Canucks vs St. Louis Blues 

These two teams have been struggling over the last month or so, the Blues come into todays game off a win but still 3-6-1 in their last ten as the Canucks are 2-7-1 in their last ten. The Blues post a 6-7-2 home record vs the Canucks 6-9-2 road record. Really a tough game to go after both teams are unpredictable, they can show up or not on any given day they are never consistent which worries me. The Blues score 2.85 goals for and allow 3.22 goals against as the Canucks score 2.84 and allow 3.42 goals against. I could see this game being a shootout. Both offense can score and both defenses are not great this year, this could easily be a 5-4 game in my opinion as both goalies have above a 3.00 goals against and .904 save percentage or lower. The Blues are -150 and Canucks are +130, Canucks are favored 1.5 and Blues need to cover 1.5, not going to happen. I’d go Canucks puck spread or just Canucks straight up.

Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators

The Bruins are going from Boston to Ottawa in a days span this is a tough travel schedule and it will not be beneficial for the already banged up Bruins roster. The Bruins are coming off a big win vs Toronto but that may not mean much as this game will be a totally different style of play. The Senators are banged up, up front as well, they play a pretty quick, open the ice style of game. The Bruins are coming into todays game 5-4-1 in their last ten, 5-7-4 on the road as the Senators are 4-6-0 in their last ten and 10-5-2 at home. The Bruins go from a 7:00 PM puck drop Friday to a 5:00 PM puck drop today the turn around is less than 24 hours and the Senators are solid at home. I think you get what I am saying here. The Senators are +150 and +1.5 puck spread, I’d honestly go Senators straight up.

New Jersey Devils vs Anaheim Ducks

The Devils have major issues with closing games out in regulation and beyond. They have four overtime loses in their last ten games and just two wins. They are 2-4-4 coming into tonight and 3-10-1 on the road as the Ducks are 7-2-1 in their last ten and 8-4-5 at home. I could see this game going into overtime to be honest. The only reason this game is a little enticing is because Adam Henrique vs the Devils and Sami Vatanen vs the Ducks. The offense in today’s game may be slim, the Ducks score just 2.35 goals per game as the Devils score 3 goals per game but while the Ducks don’t score a lot they also allow just 2.81 goals against vs the Devils 3.48 goals against (28th). These two teams have similar special teams, both have a strong penalty kill and decent power play. At the moment the Devils are +105 and +1.5 puck spread as the Ducks are -125 and -1.5 (+240), I really cannot trust the Ducks to score four goals and win by two or shutout the Devils really. Their offense is not favorable for the puck spread, I do see the Ducks winning this game as the Devils struggle on the road. Ducks money line.

Other games on tonight

Calgary vs Edmonton (As of now Calgary are the under dogs, so I’d probably ride Calgary for that reason even though they go back to back, Calgary under dogs right now is a good reason for me to take them.)

Montreal vs Chicago: Who cares.

Dallas vs Vegas: Dallas

 

 

NHL Picks: December 7th 2018

San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars

These two teams are neck and neck in terms of records. Luckily they fall in different divisions. The Stars are fourth in their division the Sharks are third. The Sharks come into this game on a two-game win streak but 4-4-2 in their last ten. As the Stars are on a three-game win streak and 6-3-1 in their last ten. It will be tough for San Jose to knock off Dallas at home where the Stars are 9-3-1 and San Jose is 5-7-3 on the road. We can probably expect very few or no power play goals from either team, as both teams penalty kills are top-5 kills and both teams average around 8.5 penalty minutes a game. As well the Stars defend very well allowing 2.57 goals against (2nd) and the Sharks should be better on the back end but do allow 3.03 a league average. The Sharks score a bit more 3.1 as the Stars only score 2.79 goals per game. The Stars struggle a tad with throwing pucks to the net if they can just shovel shots on net it will make this game easier for them. The Stars Ben Bishop and Sharks Martin Jones get the nod tonight. Both goalies are solid goaltenders so I don’t think we see a 4-3 or higher game. This game has 3-2 or 2-1 written all over it. With the Stars +120 and Sharks -140 it would draw a lot of people to go after the Stars, and it makes sense because I am doing the same. Stars for this one here.

St. Louis Blues vs Winnipeg Jets

I don’t think St. Louis has any shot really you can throw everything and the kitchen sink at this Winnipeg team they still won’t lose to St. Louis tonight. The Jets are at home, on a four-game winning streak, 6-3-1 in their last ten and 9-3-2 at home. The Blues are struggling greatly all year, on a two-game skid, 3-6-1 in their last ten and 3-6-2 on the road. The Blues allow 3.35 goals against vs a Jets offense that scores 3.44 goals per game calls for disaster. This game has potential to be a 5-2 game in Winnipeg’s favor. There is not really much to look at for this game. Especially with Jake Allen going for the Blues his 3.16 goals against does not look good vs Winnipeg plus this is the perfect game for Connor Hellebuyck to get some confidence going. The Jets are -225 and -1.5 puck spread that is +135, I would probably go puck spread here for Winnipeg.

Minnesota Wild vs Edmonton Oilers

The Wild’s Canadian swing ends tonight, they are 1-1 in their two Canadian games, they picked up their first loss 2-0 vs Calgary Thursday night and now they go back to back vs Edmonton. The Wild are 4-6-0 in their last ten and 7-7 on the road, they are struggling right now and have slowly fallen out of that Central division race. They will not be shutout once again on back to back nights but Mikko Koskinen in for Edmonton is a concern. The young goaltender has rode Cam Talbot out of net and he has done an unreal job this year. The Wild did play Alex Stalock Thursday night so Devan Dubnyk draws in the net for tonight. The Wild play a pretty quick game, transition well and try to use all four lines as effectively as possible. They score a decent amount and defend well same goes for Edmonton. The Oilers come into tonight off a win, 5-4-1 in their last ten and 7-4-1 at home. The Wild go home to stop bleeding hopefully after this, but they need a win and a big one. The Wild go home to Montreal, Calgary, Florida and San Jose not easy opponents. There is not puck spread out right now but the Wild are just +100 and the Oilers are -120. I like the Wild here tonight in a big game for Dubnyk and Wild’s offense.

Carolina Hurricanes vs Anaheim Ducks

Both teams are playing the opposite of each other right now. The Ducks are on a five-game win streak and Carolina a four-game losing streak. The Hurricanes go with Curtis Mcelhinney tonight and Ducks go with John Gibson. The Ducks are 7-1-2 in their last ten and 8-3-5 at home as the Hurricanes are 5-4-1 in their last ten and 5-7-1 on the road. Both teams score 2.4 goals per game and both teams allow 2.7 goals per game. The Ducks are just a better team right now, Canes are struggling on the road and I cannot seem them coming into tonight getting a win. I could see an overtime game honestly but the Ducks will come out with this one. The money line is Ducks -120 and Canes +100 the puck spread is Canes -1.5 (+245) and Ducks -1.5 (-300) I honestly can see the Canes keeping it to a one/two goal game. But Ducks for the win, maybe Canes for the puck spread…

NHL Picks: December 6th, 2018

Colorado Avalanche vs Florida Panthers

The Panthers are coming off a 5-0 win over Boston and this is their second of eight straight home games. This is a chance for the Panthers to revive their season and get back in the hunt. The Avalanche are coming off a loss in Pittsburgh and head to Florida, weird travel schedule for the Avalanche but, they are 7-1-2 in their last ten, 10-5-2 on the road as the Panthers are 6-4-3 on home ice and 4-4-2 in their last ten. The Panthers and Avalanche offense are both high scoring offenses, Panthers average 3.31 goals per game (10th) as Avalanche average 3.64 goals per game (2nd) as both power plays are both top 10 in the league. Colorado is first with a 32.2 and Panthers are 6th with a 27.2 percent. The Panthers defense is not as good as the Avalanche though as they allow 3.42 goals per game vs a Colorado 2.79 goals per game. It seems based off a 5 goal performance from Florida last game and a strong Colorado offense we can expect a 4-3, 5-4 game realistically. The Avalanche are under dogs tonight which makes me really want to go heavy on them the puck line is +1.5 in favor of Colorado. I think after a loss to Pittsburgh and Panthers riding a little high right now, I am going to go Colorado.

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Philadelphia Flyers

Columbus comes into another metropolitan division team on a two-game skid and slowly slipping away from the top three in the division. The Blue Jackets are coming off a terrible loss to Calgary on home ice. They allowed 9 goals, no empty netters either. The Blue Jackets ae 6-4-0 in their last ten, 8-5-1 on the road as the Flyers are 4-5-1 in their last ten and 5-7-1 on home ice. The Blue Jackets score around 3.56 goals per game compared to the Flyers league average 3 goals per game, the Blue Jackets power play though is not great nor is the Flyers which is a good sign because both penalty kills struggle as well. If this game ends up going to special teams it may favor the Flyers in their own building. The Blue Jackets play 5 on 5 they can beat the Flyers straight up. The Flyers have Michael Neuvirth going for the first time in god knows how long (October 27th). With the Blue Jackets and Flyers money line basically being a toss in the air (both -110) the Blue Jackets are favored +1.5 on the puck line that is -300 so it provides very little draw. I would say an over/under of six is possible but I would still take Columbus money line.

New York Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins

The Penguins are coming off a big win vs Colorado as the Islanders are coming off a loss vs Winnipeg. The Islanders have had plenty of days to rest as the Penguins had a day rest and are back at it. Tomas Greiss gets the start once again and Casey DeSmith for Pittsburgh, two goalies we are kind of sure what to expect from them on most nights. The Penguins come into tonight 6th in the Metro, 4-4-2 in their last ten and 6-6-2 at home this season. As the Islanders are 5-4-1 in their last ten and 6-6-1 on the road. The Islanders score just 2.92 goals for as the Penguins score 3.42 goals, the Islanders allow 2.81 as the Penguins allow 3.27. A total 360 for both teams, the Islanders used to score a lot and allow a lot now it is the other way around. The Penguins really need every point they can get until the All-Star break comes they get some rest and recharge. There has been a lot of speculation about trades and Jim Rutherford seems to be moving everyone but Crosby and Malkin, an uneasy locker room it seems in Pittsburgh. The Islanders want to continue on this play of theirs as they are 3rd in the Metro and trending up. Tonight the line is Islanders +180 and Pittsburgh -210 and over/under is 6.5, I don’t know about the over/under but this line really makes you want to take New York. They beat the Penguins at the beginning of the month 3-2 which kind of indicates to me that they will probably lose and the Penguins win.

Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames

This could be the under dog game of the night. The Wild are falling off since their great start they have not played too well, dropping six of their last ten (4-6-0) and 7-6-0 on the road. The Flames are playing hot right now, winning their last three, 7-2-1 in their last ten and 8-3-2 at home. The Flames just got off a game where they scored nine goals in regulation, they are clearly capable of winning this game. The Flames score around 3.57 (5th) and allow 2.89 goals against (14th) as the Wild score 3.19 (12th) and allow 2.85 goals against (12th). I cannot see this game being a high scoring game although both offenses are solid, both defenses are just as good. I want to say we see a 3-2 game I’d be shocked to see a 5-4 or higher game. Both teams penalty kills click at around 76 percent, both power plays click at 23 percent these two teams are very similar. Once I saw this line I had a feeling Minnesota was going to win. The Wild are +120 and +1.5 to start as the Jackets are -140, I like the Wild here tonight honestly, straight up money line going Wild.

Washington Capitals vs Arizona Coyotes

The story of Adin Hill has to end somewhere right? The young goaltender is 4-0 with a .56 goals against and .977 save percentage. Do Ovechkin and Kuzy get to the young goaltender? I’d be surprised if Hill keeps the Capitals and Ovi to less than two goals this game. The Coyotes are hot right now, on a four-game win streak, 5-4-1 in their last ten and 6-6-1 at home as the Capitals are on a two-game skid, 7-3-0 in their last ten and 7-5-1 on the road. The Coyotes defense plays a large part in their success as they allow just 2.58 goals per game (4th) but their offense scores only 2.58 goals per game (28th) the Capitals are the opposite as they score 3.59 goals per game (4th) and allow 3.22 goals per game (22nd). This game worries me because the Coyotes strong suit is their penalty kill and the Capitals strong suit is their power play, this goes to special teams it may not change the course of the game too much. The Coyotes are at home +115 and +1.5 on the puck line as the Capitals are -1.5 and -135, to be safe I’d probably go Coyotes puck line.

Other games on tonight: 

Detroit vs Toronto: TORONTO SHOULD win.

Montreal vs Ottawa: Worries me too much. Too inconsistent, stay away.

Nashville vs Vancouver: Not worth it but Nashville.

Devils vs Kings: Both too inconsistent and unpredictable right now.

Boston vs Tampa Bay: Boston coming off a terrible loss may spark a fire in them.

Chicago vs Vegas: Chicago sucks, Vegas.

Parlays tonight (money line)

Wild, Penguins, Blue Jackets

Jackets, Avalanche, Predators

Predators, Wild, Blue Jackets

Parlays (puck spread)

Coyotes, Islanders, Red Wings

Coyotes, Wild, Predators

Coyotes, Wild, Kings