Tag: sports book

NHL Picks; November 29th, 2018

New York Islanders vs Boston Bruins

Tonight as a whole consists of a lot of tough games and it starts with this one here. The Bruins are coming off a loss vs Toronto as the Islanders are also coming off a loss. Both teams are not playing all that well, the Bruins are banged up bad, the Islanders are slowing down too soon and both teams need wins bad. The Bruins are 5-3-2 in their last ten and 8-2-0 at home, as the Islanders are 6-6-0 on the road and 4-5-1 in their last ten. It seems Robin Lehner is getting the start for the Islanders, Lehner is 4-5-1, 3.00 GAA and .906 save percentage on the year vs Tuukka Rask who is 5-4-2 with a 2.72 GAA and .913 save percentage. The Islanders out perform the Bruins in the goals department and the offensive side as the Bruins allow one of the league’s best 2.46 goals against compared to the Islanders 2.91. The Islanders power play is struggling as the Bruins have a top-5 power play, key for the Islanders is to play smart and stay out of the box (both teams rank 28, 29 in penalty minutes per game..). I see this game being a relatively lower scoring game, going with a Bruins win. 

Minnesota Wild vs Columbus Blue Jackets

The Wild are underdogs here, small under dogs per money line at +105 but that is a solid drawing point here. The Blue Jackets are 7-2-1 in their last ten and 6-4-1 at home as the Wild are 6-4-0 in their last ten and 6-5-0 on the road. Both starters draw in net tonight, both goalies are nearly neck and neck right now. Devan Dubynk is 9-6-2 with a 2.57 GAA, .916 save percentage vs Sergei Bobrovsky 9-7-0 record with a 2.74 GAA, .912 save percentage. Both goalies playing pretty well this season, Bob more so better in the recent weeks, Dubnyk has slowed down a little but this is seeming to be a 3-2 game. The Wild average 3.25 goals per game as Columbus (top-5) 3.5 goals for. Blue Jackets allow 3.21 vs the Wild’s (top-10) 2.61 goals against average. The Wild have a power play running at 22 percent as Blue Jackets power play is clicking at 16 percent. Wild have a much better penalty kill as Blue Jackets penalty kill is in the basement of the league. If both teams stay out of the box and this stays to 5 on 5, Blue Jackets at home should win. I like the Wild at +1.5 to start the game, but going Blue Jackets for the win tonight, money line. 

Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers

For some reason I feel a good game out of L.A. a big win vs Vancouver the other night, Jonathan Quick is back tonight and the Kings as bad as their record looks still have some time to pick it up. I think the Kings come out strong tonight and play well in front of Quick. If Quick is 100% healthy he will make the saves to help the Kings win this game. The Oilers coming off a big overtime win over Dallas are now .500, 3-6-1 in their last ten and 5-4-1 at home. The Kings are 4-6-0 in their last ten and 4-6-0 on the road. The Kings average 2.17 goals for (a league worst) as the Oilers average 2.71 goals for (27th) compared to the Kings 3.13 goals against (19th) vs the Oilers 3.17 goals against (20th). Two very similar teams, very sub par offenses, rely a lot on goaltending and when they want both can actually score 4 plus goals a game. With the Kings +130 and +1.5 to start, I don’t mind this line. I see the Kings winning this game in regulation and Quick playing well in his first game back. 

Chicago Blackhawks vs Winnipeg Jets

Has to be a sure fire pick here tonight. The JEts are coming off a bad loss to Pittsburgh on home ice Tuesday night as the Blackhawks got shackled 8-3 vs Vegas Tuesday. Either way the Blackhawks are done, the Jets are not going to drop two at home, you’d be crazy to think they do. The Jets are 5-4-1 in their last ten and 8-3-2 on home ice as the Blackhawks are 3-5-2 in their last ten and 4-7-2 on the road. The Blackhawks average 2.72 vs the Jets 3.35 goals for, Blackhawks allow 3.56 goals against compared to the Jets 2.83 goals against. Clearly the Jets are favorited heavily here, but either way going Jets tonight. 

Vegas Golden Knights vs Vancouver Canucks

Vegas is rolling now, four straight, things are starting to click a little and if they lose this game it could set them back a little. The Canucks are coming off a loss to the Kings Tuesday night. The Golden Knights are 6-4-0 in their last ten and 6-9-0 on the road vs the Canucks 1-7-2 in their last ten and 5-4-1 on home ice. The Golden Knights allow the least shots on net in the NHL as the Canucks only score 2.85 goals for a game. The Golden Knights average 2.92 goals for but also allow 2.77 goals against as the Canucks allow 3.48 (27th). The Golden Knights are coming in hot to this game as the Canucks can’t seem to do anything to get back in the win column and be consistent, a struggling team vs a confident team. Plus the Canucks won the last time these two met in October, so definitely going Golden Knights here. Golden Knights are -160 and -1.5 to start, either way with the Canucks under dogs at home going Knights. 

Other games on tonight: 

Rangers vs Senators: Not worth it. 

Sabres vs Lightning: Definitely stay away. 

NHL Picks; November 27th 2018

San Jose Sharks vs Buffalo Sabres

The Sabres coming into this game at nine in a row vs a San Jose team that is 4-5-2 in their last ten coming off a loss in their last game. The Sabres are 8-2-0 at home. The Sabres score a near 3.04 goals per game while the Sharks score 3.13 goals per game. The Sharks are in the middle of pack in terms of goals against with 3, as the Sabres an almost league best 2.75 goals per game. The Sabres are home here and for some reason the Sabres are +1.5 goal spread, and +105 as the Sharks are -125 it is essentially a push on the money line but the spread looks great, it does not pay out much but I could realistically see the Sabres winning 10 straight and then the magic runs out next game. Plus Carter Hutton in net gives me a little more confidence for Buffalo. Buffalo money line or spread.

Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens

This is another good game the Hurricanes are under dogs here as the Canadiens are home and favorites. It makes sense sure but the Hurricanes are no walk in the park. They are 5-4-1 in their last ten as the Canadiens are on a four-game skid and 3-4-3 in their last ten. Both are not great at home nor on the road. The Canadiens average around 3.08 goals for vs Carolina’s 2.7 goals and Hurricanes 2.83 goals allowed vs Montreal’s 3.38 a near league worst. Carey Price (7-6-4, 3.16 GAA) draws in net vs Curtis McElhinney (6-2, 2.25 GAA). The story line tonight is Shea Weber draws in the line up for the first time in what feels like forever, perhaps the veteran defenseman rallies the troops but with the Hurricanes +1.5 and -105 and the Canadiens -1.5 and -115, I like the Hurricanes spread or moneyline. Go Hurricanes. 

Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers

A shaken up Edmonton bench, new head coach, team not producing that great already and things are looking to be going a little south in Edmonton. The Stars are a tough team to read they are hot and cold too often, they were off to a decent run last week and then slowed down in their last few games. They are coming off a lose and 4-5-1 in their last ten and 4-7-1 on the road. But the Oilers are not much better as they are 2-7-1 in their last ten and 4-4-1 on home ice and on a two-game skid. The Stars score around 2.83 goals for to an Edmonton 2.78 goals for as the Oilers allow 3.3 goals and Stars allow 2.75. Tonight Cam Talbot and Anton Khudobin both goalies have above a 3.00 goals against and .905 save percentage or lower. The over is a good possibility tonight but since it is six for some reason(two low scoring teams) I’d stick to money line or spread. The Stars are +1.5 and +115 as the Oilers are -135 and -1.5, the Oilers are not going to come into this game and win easy. Stars money line. 

Vegas Golden Knights vs Chicago Blackhawks

The Golden Knights are starting to string together some wins now and have found themselves sprung into the number three seed in the Pacific with a bad Pacific division right now if the Knights keep this up they could easily find themselves in the playoffs once again. As the opposite goes for the Blackhawks they are in a tough Central division and in 6th place right now. They are 3-5-2 in their last ten and 5-3-3 on home ice Chicago, as the Golden Knights are 6-4-0 in their last ten and 5-9-0 on the road. They are on a three game win streak. The Blackhawks and Vegas score around the same amount of goals per game at 2.70 goals per game, the Hawks allow 3.38 goals and Vegas allows a near league low of 2.76 goals. I like the Blackhawks at +1.5 spread but the Golden Knights spread at -120, ultimately I think this is going to be a close game, down to the wire. Going Blackhawks spread here. 

Los Angeles Kings vs Vancouver Canucks

The Canucks are struggling greatly in their last ten with just two wins and a record of 2-7-1, they are 5-4-0 on home ice as the Kings are 4-6-0 in their last ten with a 3-6-0 on the road. The Kings are going wit Peter Budaj who is 0-1 with a 5.00 goals against on the year. The Kings score around a league worst of 2.17 goals for and allow a near league worst 3.22 as the Canucks score a league average of 2.92 goals for and allow a near league worst of 3.58 goals. This is going to be another tough game to read both teams are not the greatest nor playing well. Budaj in net gives me a little insurance that the Canucks could win it but Budaj can also play a great game. With the Kings -1.5 and -115 as the Canucks are +1.5 and -105, I’d probably go Canucks spread or money line, I think Canucks take this game either way. 

Other games on tonight: 

Ducks vs Lightning: Lightning (-255)

Coyotes vs Wild: Wild (-185)

Avalanche vs Predators: Predators (-160) (or stay away)

Penguins vs Jets: Jets (-145) (or stay away)

Parlay options of the night

Canucks, Stars, Sabres (option 1) 

Sabres, Stars, Lightning (option 2)

Lightning, Wild, Sabres (option 3) 

Stars, Wild, Lightning (option 4)

NHL Picks: November 26th 2018

Ottawa Senators vs New York Rangers

The Rangers are coming off loses vs the Capitals and the Flyers. They are 6-3-1 in their last ten and 9-4-0 at home. This the first time on the year the two will face off, last time the Senators and Rangers played was February 17th, 2018. The Senators are one a two-game skid, 4-5-1 in their last ten and 2-7-1 on the road. The Senators average around 3.61 goals for which is the 3rd most in the league while the Rangers score just 2.79 goals for the 23rd most in the league. The Senators do allow 4.35 goals against a league worst as the Rangers allow 3.08 goals against. The Senators have the worst penalty kill in the league as the Rangers have the 19th best power play (19.7 percent). This will be a game where Henrik Lundqvist gets back in net and Craig Anderson will attempt to bring his goals against down to a respectable rate(3.91). Tonight with the Rangers at home and -1.5 while the Senators are +1.5 struggle on the road, with a decent money line on the Rangers and over/under of six. I’d go money line Rangers. 

Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs

With the Bruins banged up and the Maple Leafs at home it seems like this is a no-brainer for many fans around the league. The Leafs are without Auston Matthews still but the Bruins are without four of their top defenseman, and Patrice Bergeron. In Patrick Marleau’s 1,600th career game the Leafs are going to come out buzzing. The Leafs are 7-5 on home ice and 7-3-0 in the last ten. The Bruins are on a two-game win streak and 6-2-2 in their last ten with a 5-4-4 away record. The Bruins average 2.83 goals for compared to Toronto’s 4 goals for a game. The Bruins allow 2.39 goals against vs Toronto’s 2.59 goals against. This is going to be a barn burner, two teams with a long history dating back to the 1900’s. These two meet four times a year and it always turns out to be a game to remember. The last time they played was earlier this month when the Bruins won 5-1. Toronto is -160 with a -1.5 spread, the over/under is 5.5, I’d probably say go Bruins money line. Spread will be tough and over is likely to hit also.

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Detroit Red Wings

The last time these two played was October 30th where the Red Wings came out on top 5-3. This means the Blue Jackets will probably take this one on the road too. The Blue Jackets are 7-4-1 on the road and 6-2-2 in the last ten as the Red Wings are 6-3-1 in their last ten and 6-4-2 on home ice. Just based on how every point matters and the Blue Jackets want to stay in the top of the Metro I doubt they drop two games to Detroit this year. The Blue Jackets score 3.35 goals for (10th) and the Red Wings score 2.65 goal for (28th) as the Blue Jackets allow 3.13 goals against and the Red Wings allow 3.09 goals against. The Blue Jackets can clearly score the only way the Red Wings win here is if they score another 5 goals, I doubt we see Bobrovsky who has been playing much better and allow 5 goals up on his recent solid play. Tonight with the Blue Jackets -155 and -1.5 spread with a over/under of 5.5. I’d be fine with sticking money line again on the Jackets. 

Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders

The Islanders and Capitals always make a great match up. This is the first of four matchups between the two. The last time these two played was last season March 16th. The Capitals are starting to string together some wins and gain some more confidence, as the Islanders are slowing down a bit. This could be a big confidence game for the Islanders. On the year the Islanders are 6-2-2 on home ice and also 5-4-1 in their last ten as the Capitals are 6-4-1 on the road and 7-3-0 in their last ten. The Capitals are on a five-game win streak and I think they keep rolling tonight. The Capitals average around 3.43 goals and allow 3.13 goals against as the Islanders allow 2.86 goals and score 3.18 goals for. Both teams can score and we will see a lot of goals tonight, I think the over is a great idea. Also the Capitals power play is 5th in the league as the Islanders penalty kill is middle of the pack. With the Capitals -110 and given 1.5 goals to start the spread is a great idea tonight. Capitals spread for sure. 

New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers

Both teams are on a losing streak they need to snap out of and only one team can win here tonight. These two usually see each other two to three times a year and have played one time this season already where the Devils won 3-2. The Panthers are 8th in the Atlantic as the Devils are 8th in the Metropolitan division. The Devils are 3-5-2 in their last ten and 2-9-0 on the road averaging 2.95 goals for and allowing 3.27 goals against on the year. The Panthers are 3-3-2 on home ice and 5-4-1 in their last ten, dropping their last three games. The Panthers score around 3.24 goals for and allow 3.62 goals against behind the Senators for the league’s worst. James Reimer will hold the pipes tonight as Robert Luongo is out for now, Keith Kinkaid gets the nod once again as he begins to take over number one duties in New Jersey. With the Panthers -140 and -1.5 spread, I’d probably either stay away from this game or go Panthers money line. Don’t feel too hot about the over here tonight, but see the Panthers getting a win on home ice tonight. 

Three team money line parlay: 

  • Jackets, Leafs, Rangers (parlay option one) 
  • Jackets, Leafs, Panthers (parlay option two)
  • Jackets, Leafs, Capitals (parlay option three)